Interest rates have increased for the third time in four months as the Bank of England tries to calm the rise in the cost of living.
The members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) considered that "given the current rigidity of the labor market, the continuing signs of strong internal pressures on costs and prices and the risk that such pressures will persist", an increase interest rates was justified. He also warned that inflation could hit double digits later in the year if energy prices drive the energy price ceiling higher. Interest rate hike chart The MPC voted by a majority of 81 in favor of the move, with Bank Deputy Governor Jon Cunliffe the only member to vote to keep rates unchanged. He said this is due to the impact of rapid price increases on household incomes. The committee said further interest rate hikes “may be appropriate in the coming months, but there were risks on both sides of that judgment depending on how the medium-term outlook evolves.The invasion of Ukraine likely pushed prices higher even faster than the Bank had expected at its last meeting in February, he added. “The economy has been subjected to a series of very significant shocks recently,” he wrote. Morag Milligan Image caption Morag Milligan is operations manager at Milligan's Coaches Morag Milligan, operations manager at Milligan's Coaches in East Ayrshire, said the business had just recovered from the shock of lockdowns and travel restrictions travel related to the coronavirus. Citing rising fuel prices, he said: "It seems like it never ends for the industry...it's one crisis after another. The business has seen an 8% increase in fuel costs , which has strained resources."The increase makes it harder and harder to manage," he said. According to UK Finance, around two million households will see an immediate increase in mortgage payments following the rate hike. The increase will add around £26 per month to the cost of a typical trailing mortgage and £16 to the cost of a typical standard variable rate mortgage. its last pricing meeting.
However, he expects inflation to "fall significantly" once prices stop rising and the impact of inflation on household incomes begins to be felt. While the main impact of a rate hike will be felt by owners of variable rate mortgages, the big change today was in the musical mood of the Bank of England. Last month it indicated that the increase was the first of a series likely in the coming months.This language was toned down and there was indeed a committee member who voted to keep them on hold. This indicates that the Bank is concerned about the economic impact of the massive increase in energy and food prices. More nervous than me is the fact that inflation's already staggering 30-year highs will not only be even higher at 8%, but potentially surpass them by the end of the year. The Russian invasion is just one of a series of so-called “stagflationary” shocks, which are sending growth and inflation data in the wrong direction. There is little the Bank can do to stop the capping of energy and food prices by reducing the increase in the cost of living to 9 or 10%. But he signals concern about the overall impact on the economy of a prolonged hit to consumers, from events 1,500 miles away.